If any organization can screw up the first pick in the NFL draft, it’s the Cleveland Browns.

Even with that kind of track record, oddsmakers are still predicting Cleveland to do the right thing and draft USC quarterback Sam Darnold with the first pick.

Darnold is the favorite to go No. 1 in the upcoming NFL draft, pegged as a -300 favorite. In comparison, that doesn’t equate to much confidence, though, especially in relation to recent years.

Last season, Myles Garrett was -1600 to go No. 1, while in 2015, quarterback Jameis Winston was -1500. Both went No. 1.

In 2016, though, oddsmakers were unsure, putting Laremy Tunsil as the favorite at -400. Jared Goff, who went No. 1 that year, was listed at +1600.

Is there much value in this year’s draft? Maybe, but not like that 2016 draft. In 2016, it was widely speculated that Tennessee would trade the pick, which it did. This season, it seems unlikely that Cleveland will move out of that No. 1 spot, and even if it did, Darnold is still likely the logical pick, unlike Tunsil in 2016.

If there is any value, check out these two options in the NFL draft.

Saquon Barkley has some value in the 2018 NFL draft. Flickr

Saquon Barkley, RB, +400

Believing everything circulating about the draft in the lead-up to the event is a bad idea. Teams are purposely planting misinformation, so the rumor that the Browns could take Barkley should be taken with a grain of salt.

With that being said, this is the Browns we’re talking about, which don’t have the greatest track record of making solid picks.

Barkley is probably the most likely player to make an immediate impact, but he might be available at No. 4, and he plays a position that is not as valued as other positions.

There are plenty of running backs in this draft who may not be as good as Barkley, but are close. I’m not sure you can say the same thing about other quarterbacks in relation to Darnold.

If the hype has a shred of truth behind it, Barkley does present some value leading up to the draft.

Bradley Chubb, DE, +3300

A month ago, Chubb was the likely No. 1 pick. As you can see, a lot can change in a month. So much like he has fallen down the draft board, he can climb back up it in the coming weeks.

Chubb is the No. 1 player in this draft, but the thirst for a franchise quarterback is hard to ignore. Many believe Chubb will fall to the Browns at No. 4, but if the Browns feel secure in another quarterback, but believe they won’t be able to trade out of the No. 1 pick, Chubb makes the most sense for the Browns in this slot.

NFL teams value three positions more than any other — quarterback, left tackle and defensive end. With Chubb, the Browns can trot out Garrett and Chubb on a weekly basis, cementing a top-tier pass rush for several years.

Darnold is the likely play, but Chubb presents by far the best value in the NFL draft.

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