With just four weeks to go, the final quarter of the season is mostly about which teams will quit, and which will work to keep playing.

That’s harder than it seems to find the teams that will fit either of those molds. My underdogs have failed me in recent weeks, but it couldn’t stop me from going 4-2 ATS last week.

I’m not confident in more than two underdogs this week, so I’ll back four favorites and stick with these two underdogs in the SuperContest.

Here’s to continued good luck in the week 14 NFL picks featuring three underdogs to watch in this week’s SuperContest.

Overall: 39-35-4 ATS

SuperContest: 31-29-5 ATS (33.5 points)

Underdogs: 19-17-3 ATS

Matt Ryan should lead the Falcons to a straight-up win in the week 9 NFL picks. Flickr/Keith Allison/http://bit.ly/1OmpAqE

Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) at Green Bay Packers

I know that everyone in the NFL world believes that Mike McCarthy was the primary reason for the Packers problems this season.

As I’ve watched the Packers play this season, the issues in Green Bay go far beyond just McCarthy. There’s something missing with Aaron Rodgers and a change at coach isn’t going to magically change that.

So even though McCarthy is out, this line shouldn’t be anywhere near 5.5 points in favor of Green Bay.

These two teams are similar with Atlanta getting healthier on the defensive side of the ball. The Falcons struggle on the road, but this matchup works well in their favor. Atlanta has gotten better on defense, so don’t trust the Packers giving up this many points. — Go Against The Chalk with Atlanta

Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) at Seattle Seahawks

This matchup actually works in Minnesota’s favor.

There are some issues with Minnesota having to travel cross-country, but the Vikings will force Seattle to air it on a regular basis to move the ball.

And when Seattle is one-dimensional with its passing game, it struggles to consistently move the chains. So while the Vikings stymie the run, the offense shouldn’t have much trouble.

The Vikings will square off against a team that is allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt in the last three weeks, and the Seahawks have seen its yard per play average allowed jump from 6.1 to 7.2.

This matchup works for Minnesota, so I’ll easily take the points. — Go Against The Chalk with Minnesota

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