FiveDimes recently released over/under regular season win totals for college football teams.

Here is an early-season look at the Colorado Buffaloes in the Pac 12.

Over/Under

FiveDimes has Colorado at 4.5 wins. Last year, the Buffaloes went 2-10 in the regular season. The line features a more favorable under at +100, while the over is at -140.

The upside

It has to feel good for Colorado to be juiced in the over. It’s been some lean years recently for the once-proud Colorado program, with the last winning season coming in 2005.

However, Colorado competed better last season, and it brings back some important position players. Colorado lost four games last year by one possession and competed all the way to the end, despite not having anything to play for during the majority of the season.

The Buffaloes will return Sefo Liufau, who has started 18 career games at quarterback. He should improve during head coach Mike MacIntyre’s second season. Colorado also returns its top wide receiver and running back options.

The downside

Let’s not get too excited. This is still a team that hasn’t won more than four games three times since 2006, with none of them coming in the last four seasons.

Defensively is where Colorado has been at its worst, and although former South Florida head coach Jim Leavitt steps in as defensive coordinator, and several starters return, the players will have to prove its improvement on the field.

The schedule also doesn’t give many gimmes, either, with Colorado playing in the Pac 12. The Buffaloes do get a few winnable match-ups against Hawaii, Nichols State and UMass, but the rest of the schedule doesn’t include any contests where the Buffaloes would be listed as favorites.

The verdict

 

There are three games that reasonable gamblers can depend on Colorado winning. And this unit should be much improved from the most recent installments of the Buffaloes.

Key games will include Colorado State, at Oregon State and at Washington State. Other than those games, there likely isn’t another game where the Buffaloes will have a chance, since they square off against Oregon, at Arizona State, Arizona, at UCLA, Stanford, USC and at Utah.

If the Buffaloes will go over, it must go undefeated in the early non-conference contests, and then win at least two of those toss-up games. The under is just too tempting, especially with the Buffaloes having to win that many of their toss-up games and go undefeated in the winnable games. Get more action with the under and see if the Buffaloes will continue their streak of losing close games.

 

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